Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.438663 4.083603 4.781314 5.588145 6.491307 7.467093 8.596899
2025-12-07 2.461519 3.299492 4.283840 5.508637 6.974431 8.655269 10.710613
2025-12-14 1.684704 2.563661 3.686014 5.184286 7.090444 9.393450 12.342535
2025-12-21 1.173796 2.036236 3.233094 4.940779 7.236961 10.140328 14.005768
2025-12-28 0.953159 1.851364 3.187532 5.197737 8.017766 11.706065 16.756898
2026-01-04 0.810153 1.746315 3.228212 5.561573 8.952683 13.511487 19.896338
2026-01-11 0.685362 1.638354 3.240128 5.871556 9.820319 15.259893 23.029344
2026-01-18 0.540858 1.455749 3.099492 5.925518 10.310448 16.503494 25.525802
2026-01-25 0.397258 1.229964 2.844025 5.760585 10.449708 17.246718 27.351658
2026-02-01 0.292647 1.049098 2.631584 5.631616 10.618235 18.020903 29.229727
2026-02-08 0.214080 0.897244 2.442199 5.512104 10.779475 18.775300 31.088578
2026-02-15 0.157527 0.776760 2.289863 5.434554 10.991960 19.601729 33.064077
2026-02-22 0.133528 0.744158 2.322085 5.706030 11.808272 21.392898 36.532742
2026-03-01 0.099614 0.660520 2.224546 5.720185 12.190344 22.532237 39.079266
2026-03-08 0.062051 0.532745 1.992274 5.439653 12.040820 22.831129 40.378230
2026-03-15 0.037883 0.433784 1.803065 5.217092 11.968917 23.238695 41.841839
2026-03-22 0.031934 0.423734 1.851723 5.502464 12.828924 25.172845 45.684830
2026-03-29 0.028859 0.429006 1.945195 5.892719 13.898646 27.477829 50.149220
2026-04-05 0.024933 0.424837 2.009777 6.222712 14.868815 29.643915 54.442051
2026-04-12 0.017723 0.385455 1.957885 6.282874 15.331700 30.982565 57.472965
2026-04-19 0.010163 0.323277 1.814532 6.112803 15.341378 31.560271 59.318116
2026-04-26 0.005567 0.273143 1.693932 5.979280 15.408471 32.229407 61.314903
2026-05-03 0.002797 0.230493 1.583846 5.855054 15.480836 32.901571 63.321457